FX-Foreign Exchange Daily News Monday 6th February, 2012
Monday, February 6th, 2012As Greece gets ever closer to bankruptcy the talks to resolve the issue of restructuring the private held debt by Greece remains very slow and it appears it is no longer going ahead until there is enough guarantees that Athens can implement more severe austerity reforms. We understand that Athens is now pursuing the banks, insurers and ECB to take losses of about 70% so that Greece can ease its 100 BLN Euro debt burden with a 14.5 billion Euro deadline due to be paid by mid march.
This morning the EUR/USD is trading in the lower end of Monday’s range as the uncertainties in Greece are weighing hard in market sentiment.
The service sector of the UK has started 2012 on a positive note with business and activity expanding at a faster pace. The Business activity index hit the 10 month high pace of 56.0 last month compared t 54.0 in December’s reading. The sentiment also improved as business expectations soared to more than 15 year high.
The Euro zone retail sales declined unexpectedly in December. Retail sales fell 0.4 per cent from November after declining by the same amount in October.
The EUR/JPY is attempting to base around 99.00/98.90 and in the meantime rallies are unlikely to extend above 55 day ma at 1.1.21 and additional resistance at 102.55/60. Below 99.00/98.90 the pair will target 97.04.
The AUD/USD is trading in a tight range around 1.710-30 due to weak inflation report and the retail sales in Australia which after a stronger European opening, the pair has revolved to the downside to test the 1.0700 level.
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